Skip to main content
icon for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

Oliver Gilbert 67%

Shevrin Jones 35%

Marshall Davis Sr. 11%

Kendrick Meek Jr. 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Oliver Gilbert 67%

Shevrin Jones 35%

Marshall Davis Sr. 11%

Kendrick Meek Jr. 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Oliver Gilbert

$0 Vol.

67%

Shevrin Jones

$0 Vol.

35%

Marshall Davis Sr.

$0 Vol.

11%

Kendrick Meek Jr.

$0 Vol.

11%

Rudy Moise

$0 Vol.

11%

Roderick Vereen

$0 Vol.

11%

Jean Monestime

$37 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Ethereum Up or Down

Ethereum Up or Down

50%
Up
icon for XRP Up or Down

XRP Up or Down

July 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

50%
Up
icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

July 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

50%
Up

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oliver Gilbert" at 67%, followed by "Shevrin Jones" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Oliver Gilbert" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shevrin Jones" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.