Florida's 23rd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 under a map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has received consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic Representative Lois Frankel filed to run in the newly configured seat covering portions of Broward and southern Palm Beach counties, facing limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest while Republicans field lower-profile candidates in their primary. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling momentum. Late developments such as a primary upset, major scandal involving the Democratic frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-23 House Election Winner
FL-23 House Election Winner
$15,162 Vol.
$15,162 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$15,162 Vol.
$15,162 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,500 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$4,662 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 under a map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has received consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic Representative Lois Frankel filed to run in the newly configured seat covering portions of Broward and southern Palm Beach counties, facing limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest while Republicans field lower-profile candidates in their primary. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling momentum. Late developments such as a primary upset, major scandal involving the Democratic frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$15,162End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 under a map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has received consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic Representative Lois Frankel filed to run in the newly configured seat covering portions of Broward and southern Palm Beach counties, facing limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest while Republicans field lower-profile candidates in their primary. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling momentum. Late developments such as a primary upset, major scandal involving the Democratic frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,162End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 under a map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has received consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic Representative Lois Frankel filed to run in the newly configured seat covering portions of Broward and southern Palm Beach counties, facing limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest while Republicans field lower-profile candidates in their primary. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling momentum. Late developments such as a primary upset, major scandal involving the Democratic frontrunner, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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