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icon for Guerrero Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

icon for Guerrero Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 80.0%

Manuel Añorve Baños 10.6%

Esthela Damián Peralta 6.2%

Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%

Polymarket

$77,592 Vol.

Beatriz Mojica Morga 80.0%

Manuel Añorve Baños 10.6%

Esthela Damián Peralta 6.2%

Mario Moreno Arcos 1.1%

Polymarket

$77,592 Vol.

icon for Beatriz Mojica Morga

Beatriz Mojica Morga

$17,511 Vol.

80%

icon for Manuel Añorve Baños

Manuel Añorve Baños

$2,275 Vol.

11%

icon for Esthela Damián Peralta

Esthela Damián Peralta

$31,164 Vol.

6%

icon for Mario Moreno Arcos

Mario Moreno Arcos

$2,354 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

$5,126 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

$1,413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karen Castrejón Trujillo

Karen Castrejón Trujillo

$1,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yesenia Galarza Castro

Yesenia Galarza Castro

$1,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julián López Galeana

Julián López Galeana

$1,534 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Lorena Lührs

Erika Lorena Lührs

$1,482 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abelina López Rodríguez

Abelina López Rodríguez

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Félix Salgado Macedonio

Félix Salgado Macedonio

$583 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogelio Ortega Martínez

Rogelio Ortega Martínez

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alberto López Rosas

Alberto López Rosas

$725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iván Hernández Díaz

Iván Hernández Díaz

$817 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Cayetano García

Rubén Cayetano García

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Javier Saldaña Almazán

Javier Saldaña Almazán

$573 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genaro Vázquez Flores

Genaro Vázquez Flores

$405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

$604 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

$352 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guadalupe Eguiluz

Guadalupe Eguiluz

$603 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alejandro Bravo Abarca

Alejandro Bravo Abarca

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

$569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eloy Salmerón Díaz

Eloy Salmerón Díaz

$829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

$992 Vol.

<1%

icon for Héctor Astudillo Flores

Héctor Astudillo Flores

$562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

$553 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Reyes Torres

Carlos Reyes Torres

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an 80% implied probability as the Guerrero governor election winner due to her September 2026 selection as Morena's coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation, following victory in the party's internal process against 16 registered aspirants. This designation, backed by state party structures and the current administration, positions her as the presumptive nominee for the 2027 contest in a state where Morena commands 43-52% party preference in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. Manuel Añorve Baños trails at 10.5% as the leading opposition figure, while other listed aspirants such as Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez register minimal support after the internal contest. Polling trends and Morena's structural dominance in Guerrero explain the current trader consensus.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$77,592
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an 80% implied probability as the Guerrero governor election winner due to her September 2026 selection as Morena's coordinator for the Defense of the Transformation, following victory in the party's internal process against 16 registered aspirants. This designation, backed by state party structures and the current administration, positions her as the presumptive nominee for the 2027 contest in a state where Morena commands 43-52% party preference in recent surveys, far ahead of the PRI. Manuel Añorve Baños trails at 10.5% as the leading opposition figure, while other listed aspirants such as Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez register minimal support after the internal contest. Polling trends and Morena's structural dominance in Guerrero explain the current trader consensus.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$77,592
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 80%, followed by "Manuel Añorve Baños" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" has generated $77.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guerrero Governor Election Winner," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manuel Añorve Baños" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.