Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport and surrounding metro stations recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with warm, dry downslope westerly flow off the Rockies. This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin, reflecting traders’ confidence in the verified instrumental data once the calendar day closed. Historical August normals near 88°F and recent model guidance initially favored slightly higher values, yet actual readings settled in this narrow range due to minor afternoon convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official NWS station report; rare post-analysis revisions or disputes over station selection remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 11?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$32,036 Vol.
$32,036 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$32,036 Vol.
$32,036 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
87°F or below
$796 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,258 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,227 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$3,202 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,294 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$7,410 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$4,852 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$3,801 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$786 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$205 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$205 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport and surrounding metro stations recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with warm, dry downslope westerly flow off the Rockies. This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin, reflecting traders’ confidence in the verified instrumental data once the calendar day closed. Historical August normals near 88°F and recent model guidance initially favored slightly higher values, yet actual readings settled in this narrow range due to minor afternoon convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official NWS station report; rare post-analysis revisions or disputes over station selection remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$32,036End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport and surrounding metro stations recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with warm, dry downslope westerly flow off the Rockies. This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin, reflecting traders’ confidence in the verified instrumental data once the calendar day closed. Historical August normals near 88°F and recent model guidance initially favored slightly higher values, yet actual readings settled in this narrow range due to minor afternoon convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official NWS station report; rare post-analysis revisions or disputes over station selection remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,036End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport and surrounding metro stations recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with warm, dry downslope westerly flow off the Rockies. This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin, reflecting traders’ confidence in the verified instrumental data once the calendar day closed. Historical August normals near 88°F and recent model guidance initially favored slightly higher values, yet actual readings settled in this narrow range due to minor afternoon convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official NWS station report; rare post-analysis revisions or disputes over station selection remain the only realistic paths to any adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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