Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$33,282 Vol.
$33,282 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$33,282 Vol.
$33,282 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$1,055 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,625 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,409 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,709 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,714 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$4,461 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$4,960 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,333 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,265 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$459 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$291 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$33,282End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,282End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Buckley Space Force Base station recorded a daily maximum of 82°F in Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 82–83°F outcome that commands full market-implied probability. This measurement reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure regime, with daytime heating moderated by regional moisture patterns and consistent with climatological normals near 88°F for the date. Model consensus from prior forecast runs supported limited variability, and post-event verification by authoritative agencies has left negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented station-specific data correction or reclassification of the observation period could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare for verified surface readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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