Current National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on May 22 project a daytime high near 64–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles, driven by seasonal warming as May progresses and a persistent upper-level ridge influencing the central High Plains. Historical climatology shows average daily highs rising from 67°F early in the month to 77°F by late May, with temperatures rarely falling below 52°F. This supports the market’s strong consensus on 54°F or higher, reflecting trader alignment with official model runs and observational trends. A late-arriving cold front or rapid model revision introducing unexpected cooling could shift outcomes, though current steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 22?
54°F or higher 96.0%
52-53°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$35,784 Vol.
$35,784 Vol.
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54°F or higher
96%
54°F or higher 96.0%
52-53°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$35,784 Vol.
$35,784 Vol.
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on May 22 project a daytime high near 64–71°F under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles, driven by seasonal warming as May progresses and a persistent upper-level ridge influencing the central High Plains. Historical climatology shows average daily highs rising from 67°F early in the month to 77°F by late May, with temperatures rarely falling below 52°F. This supports the market’s strong consensus on 54°F or higher, reflecting trader alignment with official model runs and observational trends. A late-arriving cold front or rapid model revision introducing unexpected cooling could shift outcomes, though current steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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