Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
24°C or higher 94%
23°C 4.0%
22°C 1.5%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
94%
24°C or higher 94%
23°C 4.0%
22°C 1.5%
21°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
14°C or below
$209 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
1%
21°C
$126 Vol.
1%
22°C
$48 Vol.
2%
23°C
$23 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$174 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$1,232End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,232End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on May 22, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with the historical May average high of 26–27°C recorded by long-term climatological data, placing the 24°C-or-higher outcome at a 92.5% market-implied probability. Model consensus shows limited variability, though brief cloud cover or localized showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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