Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Moscow’s daytime high on May 22 near 29 °C, reflecting warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. Model spreads of 1–2 °C arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any late-day showers, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. This range sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering between 28 °C and 30 °C. Updated runs expected overnight from Russia’s Hydrometcenter and the 00 UTC ECMWF cycle will narrow the uncertainty ahead of official verification at Sheremetyevo International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
29°C 29%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
23%
29°C
29%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 29%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
23°C or below
$527 Vol.
1%
24°C
$45 Vol.
1%
25°C
$246 Vol.
4%
26°C
$69 Vol.
5%
27°C
$46 Vol.
12%
28°C
$26 Vol.
23%
29°C
$17 Vol.
29%
30°C
$61 Vol.
22%
31°C
$41 Vol.
13%
32°C
$34 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$1,314 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Moscow’s daytime high on May 22 near 29 °C, reflecting warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. Model spreads of 1–2 °C arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any late-day showers, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. This range sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering between 28 °C and 30 °C. Updated runs expected overnight from Russia’s Hydrometcenter and the 00 UTC ECMWF cycle will narrow the uncertainty ahead of official verification at Sheremetyevo International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$2,161End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Moscow’s daytime high on May 22 near 29 °C, reflecting warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. Model spreads of 1–2 °C arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any late-day showers, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. This range sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering between 28 °C and 30 °C. Updated runs expected overnight from Russia’s Hydrometcenter and the 00 UTC ECMWF cycle will narrow the uncertainty ahead of official verification at Sheremetyevo International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,161End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place Moscow’s daytime high on May 22 near 29 °C, reflecting warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. Model spreads of 1–2 °C arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any late-day showers, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. This range sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering between 28 °C and 30 °C. Updated runs expected overnight from Russia’s Hydrometcenter and the 00 UTC ECMWF cycle will narrow the uncertainty ahead of official verification at Sheremetyevo International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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