Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
14°C or below
$243 Vol.
1%
15°C
$253 Vol.
5%
16°C
$149 Vol.
4%
17°C
$10 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$40 Vol.
39%
22°C
$14 Vol.
19%
23°C
$66 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$109 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$883End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$883End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, project Shanghai overnight lows near 19–21 °C on May 24, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. This aligns with mid-to-late May climatology, where historical minima average 17–20 °C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high that limits cold-air advection and allows moderating sea breezes. No significant frontal passages or northerly surges appear in current synoptic analyses, keeping probabilities for sub-18 °C readings low. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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