Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$237,542 Vol.
$237,542 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$237,542 Vol.
$237,542 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,516 Vol.
No
28°C
$47,669 Vol.
No
29°C
$52,810 Vol.
No
30°C
$48,852 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$32,502 Vol.
No
32°C
$19,039 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,131 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,686 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,460 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,578 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$237,542End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$237,542End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 14, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 30°C at the headquarters station, confirming the market resolution after the date passed. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave conditions, as showers and increased cloud cover from regional weather patterns moderated temperatures following a prolonged stretch of readings at or above 33°C. Forecasters had projected a range of 27–31°C that day, consistent with typical August variability under weakening monsoon influences. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post-event revision to the official record—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions