Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 2?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 2?
38°C 42%
37°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
8%
37°C
32%
38°C
42%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
4%
38°C 42%
37°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
30°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$191 Vol.
1%
34°C
$281 Vol.
1%
35°C
$70 Vol.
2%
36°C
$91 Vol.
8%
37°C
$146 Vol.
32%
38°C
$166 Vol.
42%
39°C
$227 Vol.
16%
40°C or higher
$115 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,355End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,355End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional outlooks points to a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Jeddah on September 2, aligning with early-September climatology near 36.7°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds of 5–7 m/s that limit cooling. This narrow band explains the tight trader split between the 37°C (31.5% implied probability) and 38°C (38.5%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight humidity variations can shift the recorded high by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution, though official airport observations remain the final arbiter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions