Official meteorological records from authorized stations in Mexico City establish a maximum temperature of 25°C on August 11, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that outcome. This aligns with surface observations reported through national monitoring networks, consistent with typical late-summer conditions influenced by high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Valley of Mexico. Historical August averages around 23–26°C provide supporting context, with no major heat wave or anomalous advection noted in recent model analyses. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty over exact station selection or post hoc data quality checks, though revisions capable of shifting the recorded high remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,215 Vol.
$24,215 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$24,215 Vol.
$24,215 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
$318 Vol.
No
20°C
$984 Vol.
No
21°C
$707 Vol.
No
22°C
$847 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,456 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,462 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,122 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$3,737 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,330 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,155 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from authorized stations in Mexico City establish a maximum temperature of 25°C on August 11, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that outcome. This aligns with surface observations reported through national monitoring networks, consistent with typical late-summer conditions influenced by high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Valley of Mexico. Historical August averages around 23–26°C provide supporting context, with no major heat wave or anomalous advection noted in recent model analyses. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty over exact station selection or post hoc data quality checks, though revisions capable of shifting the recorded high remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$24,215End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from authorized stations in Mexico City establish a maximum temperature of 25°C on August 11, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that outcome. This aligns with surface observations reported through national monitoring networks, consistent with typical late-summer conditions influenced by high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Valley of Mexico. Historical August averages around 23–26°C provide supporting context, with no major heat wave or anomalous advection noted in recent model analyses. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty over exact station selection or post hoc data quality checks, though revisions capable of shifting the recorded high remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,215End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological records from authorized stations in Mexico City establish a maximum temperature of 25°C on August 11, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that outcome. This aligns with surface observations reported through national monitoring networks, consistent with typical late-summer conditions influenced by high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Valley of Mexico. Historical August averages around 23–26°C provide supporting context, with no major heat wave or anomalous advection noted in recent model analyses. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty over exact station selection or post hoc data quality checks, though revisions capable of shifting the recorded high remain improbable absent documented instrumentation issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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