Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office place Mexico City’s August 11 high near 24–25°C under typical rainy-season conditions, with afternoon showers and cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 24°C at the city’s high elevation, rarely exceeding 26°C without clear, dry air masses. Model consensus favors 25°C as the most probable outcome due to moderate instability and southeasterly flow, while 24°C and 26°C remain competitive depending on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. No anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern has emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these central values ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
25°C 50%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
22%
25°C
50%
26°C
24%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
$318 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$984 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$368 Vol.
1%
22°C
$364 Vol.
1%
23°C
$329 Vol.
4%
24°C
$602 Vol.
22%
25°C
$2,847 Vol.
50%
26°C
$429 Vol.
24%
27°C
$373 Vol.
4%
28°C
$712 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$535 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office place Mexico City’s August 11 high near 24–25°C under typical rainy-season conditions, with afternoon showers and cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 24°C at the city’s high elevation, rarely exceeding 26°C without clear, dry air masses. Model consensus favors 25°C as the most probable outcome due to moderate instability and southeasterly flow, while 24°C and 26°C remain competitive depending on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. No anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern has emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these central values ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$7,862End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office place Mexico City’s August 11 high near 24–25°C under typical rainy-season conditions, with afternoon showers and cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 24°C at the city’s high elevation, rarely exceeding 26°C without clear, dry air masses. Model consensus favors 25°C as the most probable outcome due to moderate instability and southeasterly flow, while 24°C and 26°C remain competitive depending on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. No anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern has emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these central values ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,862End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office place Mexico City’s August 11 high near 24–25°C under typical rainy-season conditions, with afternoon showers and cloud cover limiting strong daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 24°C at the city’s high elevation, rarely exceeding 26°C without clear, dry air masses. Model consensus favors 25°C as the most probable outcome due to moderate instability and southeasterly flow, while 24°C and 26°C remain competitive depending on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. No anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern has emerged in recent model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these central values ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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