Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Moscow highs of 17–19°C on September 24, driven by a mild southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary that will bring clouds and showers. These conditions suppress peak solar heating while limiting overnight cooling, keeping daytime maxima above the late-September climatological average of roughly 14–15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, with differences among 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes hinging on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables heavily, as fresh model runs and observational updates could readily shift probabilities within the narrow 17–19°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
18°C 27%
19°C 26%
17°C 18%
21°C or higher 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
13%
17°C
18%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
14%
18°C 27%
19°C 26%
17°C 18%
21°C or higher 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$61 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C
$82 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Moscow highs of 17–19°C on September 24, driven by a mild southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary that will bring clouds and showers. These conditions suppress peak solar heating while limiting overnight cooling, keeping daytime maxima above the late-September climatological average of roughly 14–15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, with differences among 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes hinging on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables heavily, as fresh model runs and observational updates could readily shift probabilities within the narrow 17–19°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$272End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Moscow highs of 17–19°C on September 24, driven by a mild southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary that will bring clouds and showers. These conditions suppress peak solar heating while limiting overnight cooling, keeping daytime maxima above the late-September climatological average of roughly 14–15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, with differences among 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes hinging on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables heavily, as fresh model runs and observational updates could readily shift probabilities within the narrow 17–19°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Moscow highs of 17–19°C on September 24, driven by a mild southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary that will bring clouds and showers. These conditions suppress peak solar heating while limiting overnight cooling, keeping daytime maxima above the late-September climatological average of roughly 14–15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in maximum temperature, with differences among 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes hinging on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables heavily, as fresh model runs and observational updates could readily shift probabilities within the narrow 17–19°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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