Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 2?
25°C 63%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
NEW
$11,006 Vol.
NEW
$11,006 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
63%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 63%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
NEW
$11,006 Vol.
NEW
$11,006 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$483 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,301 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,387 Vol.
17%
25°C
$3,313 Vol.
63%
26°C
$1,260 Vol.
18%
27°C
$831 Vol.
1%
28°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,006End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,006End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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