Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate a high-pressure regime with warm Atlantic air advection over southern Germany, keeping daytime highs near 24–26°C on September 2. Overnight, light winds and variable cloud cover will control radiative cooling rates, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C, consistent with the historical average low of 12.1°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thin cloud layers create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD MOS guidance issued in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key data points that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
14°C 99%
10°C 52%
12°C 51%
13°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
-
10°C
52%
11°C
50%
12°C
51%
13°C
51%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99%
10°C 52%
12°C 51%
13°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$13 Vol.
-
10°C
$0 Vol.
52%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$0 Vol.
51%
13°C
$0 Vol.
51%
14°C
$0 Vol.
99%
15°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate a high-pressure regime with warm Atlantic air advection over southern Germany, keeping daytime highs near 24–26°C on September 2. Overnight, light winds and variable cloud cover will control radiative cooling rates, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C, consistent with the historical average low of 12.1°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thin cloud layers create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD MOS guidance issued in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key data points that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$168End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate a high-pressure regime with warm Atlantic air advection over southern Germany, keeping daytime highs near 24–26°C on September 2. Overnight, light winds and variable cloud cover will control radiative cooling rates, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C, consistent with the historical average low of 12.1°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thin cloud layers create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD MOS guidance issued in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key data points that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and European models indicate a high-pressure regime with warm Atlantic air advection over southern Germany, keeping daytime highs near 24–26°C on September 2. Overnight, light winds and variable cloud cover will control radiative cooling rates, producing minimum temperatures most likely between 12–15°C, consistent with the historical average low of 12.1°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thin cloud layers create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD MOS guidance issued in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key data points that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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