Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 19, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 19, 2026
75°F or below
$150 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$32 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$326 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$283 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$354 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$279 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$515 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$566 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,260End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,260End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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