Short-range forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services show Panama City temperatures likely peaking near 30–32°C on September 25, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. The Intertropical Convergence Zone and typical trade-wind patterns influence diurnal heating and humidity, while scattered showers or increased moisture could cap maximum temperatures below model means. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, yet variability in steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 25?
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
33°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C or higher
18%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
33°C or higher 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
$50 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$10 Vol.
4%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services show Panama City temperatures likely peaking near 30–32°C on September 25, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. The Intertropical Convergence Zone and typical trade-wind patterns influence diurnal heating and humidity, while scattered showers or increased moisture could cap maximum temperatures below model means. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, yet variability in steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services show Panama City temperatures likely peaking near 30–32°C on September 25, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. The Intertropical Convergence Zone and typical trade-wind patterns influence diurnal heating and humidity, while scattered showers or increased moisture could cap maximum temperatures below model means. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, yet variability in steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services show Panama City temperatures likely peaking near 30–32°C on September 25, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and convective activity. The Intertropical Convergence Zone and typical trade-wind patterns influence diurnal heating and humidity, while scattered showers or increased moisture could cap maximum temperatures below model means. Historical September averages around 31°C provide context, yet variability in steering patterns and local sea-breeze effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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