Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show high temperatures in Wuhan on September 24 centering on 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited precipitation risk supporting trader consensus on the 28–32°C brackets. Daytime heating will depend on cloud cover timing, humidity near 65–75%, and light southerly winds that modestly enhance or suppress maxima relative to climatological late-September baselines around 26–28°C. Recent runs indicate modest warming from cooler, rainier conditions on September 22–23, yet ensemble spread and potential afternoon convection introduce realistic uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly distributed rather than concentrated on any single outcome. Updated model guidance and official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 24?
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
29°C 22%
28°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
25%
31°C
28%
32°C
15%
33°C
17%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
30°C 25%
29°C 22%
28°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$5 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show high temperatures in Wuhan on September 24 centering on 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited precipitation risk supporting trader consensus on the 28–32°C brackets. Daytime heating will depend on cloud cover timing, humidity near 65–75%, and light southerly winds that modestly enhance or suppress maxima relative to climatological late-September baselines around 26–28°C. Recent runs indicate modest warming from cooler, rainier conditions on September 22–23, yet ensemble spread and potential afternoon convection introduce realistic uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly distributed rather than concentrated on any single outcome. Updated model guidance and official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show high temperatures in Wuhan on September 24 centering on 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited precipitation risk supporting trader consensus on the 28–32°C brackets. Daytime heating will depend on cloud cover timing, humidity near 65–75%, and light southerly winds that modestly enhance or suppress maxima relative to climatological late-September baselines around 26–28°C. Recent runs indicate modest warming from cooler, rainier conditions on September 22–23, yet ensemble spread and potential afternoon convection introduce realistic uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly distributed rather than concentrated on any single outcome. Updated model guidance and official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show high temperatures in Wuhan on September 24 centering on 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with limited precipitation risk supporting trader consensus on the 28–32°C brackets. Daytime heating will depend on cloud cover timing, humidity near 65–75%, and light southerly winds that modestly enhance or suppress maxima relative to climatological late-September baselines around 26–28°C. Recent runs indicate modest warming from cooler, rainier conditions on September 22–23, yet ensemble spread and potential afternoon convection introduce realistic uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly distributed rather than concentrated on any single outcome. Updated model guidance and official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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