Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 2?
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 12%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
22%
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 12%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
23°C
$5 Vol.
6%
24°C
$5 Vol.
6%
25°C
$5 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$11 Vol.
28%
31°C
$11 Vol.
27%
32°C or higher
$21 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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