**Clear skies and persistent warm advection have driven Zhengzhou temperatures to a forecasted high of 32–33°C on September 6, 2026, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher.** Multiple official and model sources, including local forecasts and global ensembles, show afternoon readings reaching or exceeding this threshold under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical September averages for the city are lower (~27°C), but the current late-summer pattern—absent any incoming cold front or significant precipitation—supports the elevated outcome. The only realistic challenges would be an unforecasted sharp cooling event or an official station anomaly, both considered highly improbable given model consensus and real-time observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,944 Vol.
$3,944 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,944 Vol.
$3,944 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,083 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and persistent warm advection have driven Zhengzhou temperatures to a forecasted high of 32–33°C on September 6, 2026, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher.** Multiple official and model sources, including local forecasts and global ensembles, show afternoon readings reaching or exceeding this threshold under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical September averages for the city are lower (~27°C), but the current late-summer pattern—absent any incoming cold front or significant precipitation—supports the elevated outcome. The only realistic challenges would be an unforecasted sharp cooling event or an official station anomaly, both considered highly improbable given model consensus and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,944End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and persistent warm advection have driven Zhengzhou temperatures to a forecasted high of 32–33°C on September 6, 2026, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher.** Multiple official and model sources, including local forecasts and global ensembles, show afternoon readings reaching or exceeding this threshold under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical September averages for the city are lower (~27°C), but the current late-summer pattern—absent any incoming cold front or significant precipitation—supports the elevated outcome. The only realistic challenges would be an unforecasted sharp cooling event or an official station anomaly, both considered highly improbable given model consensus and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,944End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and persistent warm advection have driven Zhengzhou temperatures to a forecasted high of 32–33°C on September 6, 2026, underpinning the market’s 100% implied probability for 32°C or higher.** Multiple official and model sources, including local forecasts and global ensembles, show afternoon readings reaching or exceeding this threshold under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical September averages for the city are lower (~27°C), but the current late-summer pattern—absent any incoming cold front or significant precipitation—supports the elevated outcome. The only realistic challenges would be an unforecasted sharp cooling event or an official station anomaly, both considered highly improbable given model consensus and real-time observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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