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icon for Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

icon for Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?

NEW
Sep 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,163 Vol.

Polymarket

25 kt or more

$1,008 Vol.

95%

30 kt or more

$451 Vol.

85%

35 kt or more

$636 Vol.

59%

40 kt or more

$303 Vol.

37%

45 kt or more

$764 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC. A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution. The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point. If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4Strong northeasterly flow from high pressure combined with an approaching coastal low is driving sustained winds of 15–22 mph and gusts of 30–39 mph at LaGuardia through Friday, September 25, according to National Weather Service forecasts. The storm’s track and intensity will determine peak gusts over the weekend, with model guidance indicating possible 40+ mph gusts Saturday if the low tracks closer to the coast, while Sunday and Monday see lighter northerly winds. Official observations and NWS Area Forecast Discussions emphasize that gust thresholds depend on exact pressure gradients and any convective enhancement in showers. Traders should monitor updated NWS model runs and aviation TAFs for revisions to maximum gust potential before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC.

A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution.

The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.

If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point.

If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC. A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution. The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point. If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Volume
$3,163
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC. A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution. The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point. If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4Strong northeasterly flow from high pressure combined with an approaching coastal low is driving sustained winds of 15–22 mph and gusts of 30–39 mph at LaGuardia through Friday, September 25, according to National Weather Service forecasts. The storm’s track and intensity will determine peak gusts over the weekend, with model guidance indicating possible 40+ mph gusts Saturday if the low tracks closer to the coast, while Sunday and Monday see lighter northerly winds. Official observations and NWS Area Forecast Discussions emphasize that gust thresholds depend on exact pressure gradients and any convective enhancement in showers. Traders should monitor updated NWS model runs and aviation TAFs for revisions to maximum gust potential before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC.

A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution.

The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.

If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point.

If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest wind gust reported at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) between 12:00 AM ET September 24, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET September 28, 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KLGA within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC. A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution. The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point. If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station LGA, which publishes the routine and special observations for KLGA. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Volume
$3,163
End Date
Sep 29, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 3:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=LGA&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25 kt or more" at 95%, followed by "30 kt or more" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?" is "25 kt or more" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 kt or more" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.