Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5%, edging 24–25 at 30.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with Republicans defending 26 governorships against Democrats' 24. Recent April special election Democratic gains signal shifting momentum, while May primary wins like Vivek Ramaswamy's in open Ohio bolster GOP hopes in red-leaning opens. The race stays tight due to tossups in Arizona (Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs), Michigan (open after Gretchen Whitmer), Kansas (open Democratic hold), and battlegrounds like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, plus 15 term-limited incumbents creating upset potential. Primaries through summer, national economic trends, and approval shifts could tip balances toward flips or holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$666,613 Vol.
$666,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
32%
26–27
17%
28–29
5%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 31%
26–27 17%
<22 14%
$666,613 Vol.
$666,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$45,005 Vol.
14%
22–23
$5,766 Vol.
34%
24–25
$30,016 Vol.
32%
26–27
$14,009 Vol.
17%
28–29
$553,319 Vol.
5%
30–31
$5,551 Vol.
<1%
32+
$12,947 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5%, edging 24–25 at 30.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with Republicans defending 26 governorships against Democrats' 24. Recent April special election Democratic gains signal shifting momentum, while May primary wins like Vivek Ramaswamy's in open Ohio bolster GOP hopes in red-leaning opens. The race stays tight due to tossups in Arizona (Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs), Michigan (open after Gretchen Whitmer), Kansas (open Democratic hold), and battlegrounds like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, plus 15 term-limited incumbents creating upset potential. Primaries through summer, national economic trends, and approval shifts could tip balances toward flips or holds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$666,613End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5%, edging 24–25 at 30.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with Republicans defending 26 governorships against Democrats' 24. Recent April special election Democratic gains signal shifting momentum, while May primary wins like Vivek Ramaswamy's in open Ohio bolster GOP hopes in red-leaning opens. The race stays tight due to tossups in Arizona (Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs), Michigan (open after Gretchen Whitmer), Kansas (open Democratic hold), and battlegrounds like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, plus 15 term-limited incumbents creating upset potential. Primaries through summer, national economic trends, and approval shifts could tip balances toward flips or holds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$666,613End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5%, edging 24–25 at 30.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with Republicans defending 26 governorships against Democrats' 24. Recent April special election Democratic gains signal shifting momentum, while May primary wins like Vivek Ramaswamy's in open Ohio bolster GOP hopes in red-leaning opens. The race stays tight due to tossups in Arizona (Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs), Michigan (open after Gretchen Whitmer), Kansas (open Democratic hold), and battlegrounds like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, plus 15 term-limited incumbents creating upset potential. Primaries through summer, national economic trends, and approval shifts could tip balances toward flips or holds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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