Current totals stand at 26 Republican governors versus 24 Democrats ahead of 36 state races in November 2026, with 18 seats held by each party on the ballot. Trader sentiment centers on the balance of open seats created by term limits, incumbent reelection strength, and typical midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary outcomes and rating shifts, such as Michigan moving toward Democrats and Florida remaining competitive for Republicans, underscore the potential for modest net losses or gains. The tight distribution across lower ranges reflects limited separation in forecasts for states like New Hampshire, Vermont, Arizona, and Wisconsin, where candidate quality, local issues, and national conditions could still determine final shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<22 31%
22–23 25%
26–27 21%
24–25 18%
$687,975 Vol.
$687,975 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
31%
22–23
25%
24–25
18%
26–27
21%
28–29
1%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
<22 31%
22–23 25%
26–27 21%
24–25 18%
$687,975 Vol.
$687,975 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$48,155 Vol.
31%
22–23
$8,930 Vol.
25%
24–25
$31,968 Vol.
18%
26–27
$17,676 Vol.
21%
28–29
$557,539 Vol.
1%
30–31
$8,203 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,503 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Current totals stand at 26 Republican governors versus 24 Democrats ahead of 36 state races in November 2026, with 18 seats held by each party on the ballot. Trader sentiment centers on the balance of open seats created by term limits, incumbent reelection strength, and typical midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary outcomes and rating shifts, such as Michigan moving toward Democrats and Florida remaining competitive for Republicans, underscore the potential for modest net losses or gains. The tight distribution across lower ranges reflects limited separation in forecasts for states like New Hampshire, Vermont, Arizona, and Wisconsin, where candidate quality, local issues, and national conditions could still determine final shifts before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$687,975End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Current totals stand at 26 Republican governors versus 24 Democrats ahead of 36 state races in November 2026, with 18 seats held by each party on the ballot. Trader sentiment centers on the balance of open seats created by term limits, incumbent reelection strength, and typical midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary outcomes and rating shifts, such as Michigan moving toward Democrats and Florida remaining competitive for Republicans, underscore the potential for modest net losses or gains. The tight distribution across lower ranges reflects limited separation in forecasts for states like New Hampshire, Vermont, Arizona, and Wisconsin, where candidate quality, local issues, and national conditions could still determine final shifts before Election Day.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$687,975End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Current totals stand at 26 Republican governors versus 24 Democrats ahead of 36 state races in November 2026, with 18 seats held by each party on the ballot. Trader sentiment centers on the balance of open seats created by term limits, incumbent reelection strength, and typical midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary outcomes and rating shifts, such as Michigan moving toward Democrats and Florida remaining competitive for Republicans, underscore the potential for modest net losses or gains. The tight distribution across lower ranges reflects limited separation in forecasts for states like New Hampshire, Vermont, Arizona, and Wisconsin, where candidate quality, local issues, and national conditions could still determine final shifts before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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