**Trader sentiment for the June 2026 JOLTS Job Openings report (scheduled for release August 4) reflects a closely balanced market, with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5–50% across bins from <7.2M to 7.9M+.** This pricing captures substantial uncertainty in labor demand amid mixed recent signals. May 2026 JOLTS printed at 7.594 million, above consensus expectations near 7.3 million and marking a two-year high, following April’s 7.618 million. These readings indicate resilient openings despite broader cooling. However, ADP private payrolls showed softening momentum—122,000 added in May versus 98,000 in June, below the 113,000 forecast—with weakness concentrated in leisure/hospitality. The June nonfarm payrolls report, due imminently, is expected to add roughly 110,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, while consumer surveys show rising pessimism about job availability. Market-implied odds remain evenly split because strong prior JOLTS prints contrast with decelerating hiring and softer high-frequency employment data. Key swing factors include the June employment report’s details on hiring and separations, plus any revisions to prior months. Persistent tightness could support readings near or above 7.5–7.6 million, while further softening would favor the lower bins. The balanced distribution underscores the “wisdom of crowds” in aggregating these conflicting indicators into probabilities rather than point forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJOLTS Job Openings — June 2026
JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026
7.9M+ 98%
<7.2M 50%
7.2M-7.3M 50%
7.3M-7.4M 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
<7.2M
50%
7.2M-7.3M
50%
7.3M-7.4M
50%
7.4M-7.5M
50%
7.5M-7.6M
50%
7.6M-7.7M
50%
7.7M-7.8M
50%
7.9M+
98%
7.9M+ 98%
<7.2M 50%
7.2M-7.3M 50%
7.3M-7.4M 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
<7.2M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.2M-7.3M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.3M-7.4M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.4M-7.5M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.5M-7.6M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.6M-7.7M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.7M-7.8M
$0 Vol.
50%
7.9M+
$0 Vol.
98%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in June 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment for the June 2026 JOLTS Job Openings report (scheduled for release August 4) reflects a closely balanced market, with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5–50% across bins from <7.2M to 7.9M+.** This pricing captures substantial uncertainty in labor demand amid mixed recent signals.
May 2026 JOLTS printed at 7.594 million, above consensus expectations near 7.3 million and marking a two-year high, following April’s 7.618 million. These readings indicate resilient openings despite broader cooling. However, ADP private payrolls showed softening momentum—122,000 added in May versus 98,000 in June, below the 113,000 forecast—with weakness concentrated in leisure/hospitality. The June nonfarm payrolls report, due imminently, is expected to add roughly 110,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, while consumer surveys show rising pessimism about job availability.
Market-implied odds remain evenly split because strong prior JOLTS prints contrast with decelerating hiring and softer high-frequency employment data. Key swing factors include the June employment report’s details on hiring and separations, plus any revisions to prior months. Persistent tightness could support readings near or above 7.5–7.6 million, while further softening would favor the lower bins. The balanced distribution underscores the “wisdom of crowds” in aggregating these conflicting indicators into probabilities rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in June 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in June 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment for the June 2026 JOLTS Job Openings report (scheduled for release August 4) reflects a closely balanced market, with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5–50% across bins from <7.2M to 7.9M+.** This pricing captures substantial uncertainty in labor demand amid mixed recent signals.
May 2026 JOLTS printed at 7.594 million, above consensus expectations near 7.3 million and marking a two-year high, following April’s 7.618 million. These readings indicate resilient openings despite broader cooling. However, ADP private payrolls showed softening momentum—122,000 added in May versus 98,000 in June, below the 113,000 forecast—with weakness concentrated in leisure/hospitality. The June nonfarm payrolls report, due imminently, is expected to add roughly 110,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, while consumer surveys show rising pessimism about job availability.
Market-implied odds remain evenly split because strong prior JOLTS prints contrast with decelerating hiring and softer high-frequency employment data. Key swing factors include the June employment report’s details on hiring and separations, plus any revisions to prior months. Persistent tightness could support readings near or above 7.5–7.6 million, while further softening would favor the lower bins. The balanced distribution underscores the “wisdom of crowds” in aggregating these conflicting indicators into probabilities rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in June 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in June 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on August 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 2026 JOLTS Job Openings report (scheduled for release August 4) reflects a closely balanced market, with probabilities clustered tightly around 49.5–50% across bins from <7.2M to 7.9M+.** This pricing captures substantial uncertainty in labor demand amid mixed recent signals. May 2026 JOLTS printed at 7.594 million, above consensus expectations near 7.3 million and marking a two-year high, following April’s 7.618 million. These readings indicate resilient openings despite broader cooling. However, ADP private payrolls showed softening momentum—122,000 added in May versus 98,000 in June, below the 113,000 forecast—with weakness concentrated in leisure/hospitality. The June nonfarm payrolls report, due imminently, is expected to add roughly 110,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%, while consumer surveys show rising pessimism about job availability. Market-implied odds remain evenly split because strong prior JOLTS prints contrast with decelerating hiring and softer high-frequency employment data. Key swing factors include the June employment report’s details on hiring and separations, plus any revisions to prior months. Persistent tightness could support readings near or above 7.5–7.6 million, while further softening would favor the lower bins. The balanced distribution underscores the “wisdom of crowds” in aggregating these conflicting indicators into probabilities rather than point forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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