Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 jungle primary, reflected in the 93.5% Republican consensus among traders. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, Scalise's tenure since 2008, and his role as House Majority Leader have sustained strong fundraising and institutional support. A May 2026 redistricting map preserved the district's partisan balance following earlier court proceedings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary rival Randall Arrington have not altered the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$49,108 Vol.
$49,108 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,178 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$27,930 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 jungle primary, reflected in the 93.5% Republican consensus among traders. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, Scalise's tenure since 2008, and his role as House Majority Leader have sustained strong fundraising and institutional support. A May 2026 redistricting map preserved the district's partisan balance following earlier court proceedings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary rival Randall Arrington have not altered the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 jungle primary, reflected in the 93.5% Republican consensus among traders. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, Scalise's tenure since 2008, and his role as House Majority Leader have sustained strong fundraising and institutional support. A May 2026 redistricting map preserved the district's partisan balance following earlier court proceedings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary rival Randall Arrington have not altered the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,108End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 jungle primary, reflected in the 93.5% Republican consensus among traders. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, Scalise's tenure since 2008, and his role as House Majority Leader have sustained strong fundraising and institutional support. A May 2026 redistricting map preserved the district's partisan balance following earlier court proceedings. Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and Republican primary rival Randall Arrington have not altered the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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