Recent atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and ongoing light rain or showers, are suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 21-22°C. Multiple forecast models show consensus on these mild temperatures for September 23 due to weak pressure gradients and light variable winds, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this stability, while the 16°C-or-below probability accounts for potential model underestimation of clearing skies or enhanced evaporative cooling from recent precipitation. Official minimum readings from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will resolve the market, with the next 24-hour observational updates likely to refine the narrow range between 20°C and 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 23?
16°C or below 69%
26°C or higher 50%
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
69%
17°C
30%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
45%
21°C
24%
22°C
21%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
50%
16°C or below 69%
26°C or higher 50%
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
$40 Vol.
69%
17°C
$5 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$16 Vol.
45%
21°C
$5 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$100 Vol.
39%
24°C
$15 Vol.
37%
25°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$100 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and ongoing light rain or showers, are suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 21-22°C. Multiple forecast models show consensus on these mild temperatures for September 23 due to weak pressure gradients and light variable winds, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this stability, while the 16°C-or-below probability accounts for potential model underestimation of clearing skies or enhanced evaporative cooling from recent precipitation. Official minimum readings from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will resolve the market, with the next 24-hour observational updates likely to refine the narrow range between 20°C and 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$382End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and ongoing light rain or showers, are suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 21-22°C. Multiple forecast models show consensus on these mild temperatures for September 23 due to weak pressure gradients and light variable winds, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this stability, while the 16°C-or-below probability accounts for potential model underestimation of clearing skies or enhanced evaporative cooling from recent precipitation. Official minimum readings from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will resolve the market, with the next 24-hour observational updates likely to refine the narrow range between 20°C and 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$382End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and ongoing light rain or showers, are suppressing radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 21-22°C. Multiple forecast models show consensus on these mild temperatures for September 23 due to weak pressure gradients and light variable winds, limiting diurnal temperature swings. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this stability, while the 16°C-or-below probability accounts for potential model underestimation of clearing skies or enhanced evaporative cooling from recent precipitation. Official minimum readings from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport will resolve the market, with the next 24-hour observational updates likely to refine the narrow range between 20°C and 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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