Persistent high pressure over the Southwest and a strengthening thermal ridge are driving above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts showing overnight lows near 70–72°F for Los Angeles on August 24 under mostly clear skies and a lingering marine layer. This pattern, featuring weak onshore flow and patchy coastal fog, limits radiational cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 70s rather than the seasonal average near 65°F. Model consensus favors this outcome, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could nudge readings a degree or two, creating the tight market spread between the 70–71°F and 80°F+ brackets as traders weigh the strength of the heat dome against typical August coastal moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
80°F or higher 80%
68-69°F 52%
70-71°F 43%
76-77°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
30%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
80%
80°F or higher 80%
68-69°F 52%
70-71°F 43%
76-77°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
30%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$11 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
43%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$5 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Southwest and a strengthening thermal ridge are driving above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts showing overnight lows near 70–72°F for Los Angeles on August 24 under mostly clear skies and a lingering marine layer. This pattern, featuring weak onshore flow and patchy coastal fog, limits radiational cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 70s rather than the seasonal average near 65°F. Model consensus favors this outcome, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could nudge readings a degree or two, creating the tight market spread between the 70–71°F and 80°F+ brackets as traders weigh the strength of the heat dome against typical August coastal moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Southwest and a strengthening thermal ridge are driving above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts showing overnight lows near 70–72°F for Los Angeles on August 24 under mostly clear skies and a lingering marine layer. This pattern, featuring weak onshore flow and patchy coastal fog, limits radiational cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 70s rather than the seasonal average near 65°F. Model consensus favors this outcome, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could nudge readings a degree or two, creating the tight market spread between the 70–71°F and 80°F+ brackets as traders weigh the strength of the heat dome against typical August coastal moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Southwest and a strengthening thermal ridge are driving above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts showing overnight lows near 70–72°F for Los Angeles on August 24 under mostly clear skies and a lingering marine layer. This pattern, featuring weak onshore flow and patchy coastal fog, limits radiational cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 70s rather than the seasonal average near 65°F. Model consensus favors this outcome, though slight variations in fog timing or wind could nudge readings a degree or two, creating the tight market spread between the 70–71°F and 80°F+ brackets as traders weigh the strength of the heat dome against typical August coastal moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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