Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 25 will likely settle in the 20–24°C range, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. These Etesian winds promote mixing that moderates extremes while dry conditions limit cloud insulation, keeping minimums close to climatological late-August norms around 21–22°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in projected wind speed, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing in ensemble runs, with slightly cooler scenarios tied to calmer periods or clearer radiational cooling and warmer ones to increased cloud cover or stronger advection. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
28°C or higher 49%
19°C 37%
23°C 31%
24°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
2%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
28%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
49%
28°C or higher 49%
19°C 37%
23°C 31%
24°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$100 Vol.
16%
19°C
$118 Vol.
37%
20°C
$88 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$50 Vol.
6%
26°C
$122 Vol.
8%
27°C
$145 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$30 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 25 will likely settle in the 20–24°C range, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. These Etesian winds promote mixing that moderates extremes while dry conditions limit cloud insulation, keeping minimums close to climatological late-August norms around 21–22°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in projected wind speed, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing in ensemble runs, with slightly cooler scenarios tied to calmer periods or clearer radiational cooling and warmer ones to increased cloud cover or stronger advection. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$654End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 25 will likely settle in the 20–24°C range, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. These Etesian winds promote mixing that moderates extremes while dry conditions limit cloud insulation, keeping minimums close to climatological late-August norms around 21–22°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in projected wind speed, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing in ensemble runs, with slightly cooler scenarios tied to calmer periods or clearer radiational cooling and warmer ones to increased cloud cover or stronger advection. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$654End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on August 25 will likely settle in the 20–24°C range, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. These Etesian winds promote mixing that moderates extremes while dry conditions limit cloud insulation, keeping minimums close to climatological late-August norms around 21–22°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in projected wind speed, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing in ensemble runs, with slightly cooler scenarios tied to calmer periods or clearer radiational cooling and warmer ones to increased cloud cover or stronger advection. No significant weather systems are expected to alter this pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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