Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight minimum of 80°F on August 16, 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology where persistent high humidity and minimal radiational cooling under typical subtropical conditions keep lows in the low-to-mid 80s. NOAA forecast models and historical analogs for mid-August showed little deviation from the 78°F normal, reinforcing trader consensus around the 82-83°F bracket as the resolution outcome. A sudden influx of drier air or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, yet such patterns remain rare in peak summer and would require substantial model revisions not seen in the final data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$10,004 Vol.
$10,004 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$10,004 Vol.
$10,004 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$281 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$357 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,134 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,560 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,142 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,422 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$2,118 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$716 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$701 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$291 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight minimum of 80°F on August 16, 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology where persistent high humidity and minimal radiational cooling under typical subtropical conditions keep lows in the low-to-mid 80s. NOAA forecast models and historical analogs for mid-August showed little deviation from the 78°F normal, reinforcing trader consensus around the 82-83°F bracket as the resolution outcome. A sudden influx of drier air or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, yet such patterns remain rare in peak summer and would require substantial model revisions not seen in the final data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$10,004End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight minimum of 80°F on August 16, 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology where persistent high humidity and minimal radiational cooling under typical subtropical conditions keep lows in the low-to-mid 80s. NOAA forecast models and historical analogs for mid-August showed little deviation from the 78°F normal, reinforcing trader consensus around the 82-83°F bracket as the resolution outcome. A sudden influx of drier air or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, yet such patterns remain rare in peak summer and would require substantial model revisions not seen in the final data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,004End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded an overnight minimum of 80°F on August 16, 2026, consistent with late-summer climatology where persistent high humidity and minimal radiational cooling under typical subtropical conditions keep lows in the low-to-mid 80s. NOAA forecast models and historical analogs for mid-August showed little deviation from the 78°F normal, reinforcing trader consensus around the 82-83°F bracket as the resolution outcome. A sudden influx of drier air or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, yet such patterns remain rare in peak summer and would require substantial model revisions not seen in the final data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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