Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance supports New York City overnight lows on August 13 most likely in the low-to-mid 70s, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, persistent southwesterly warm-air advection, and elevated dew points typical of late-summer conditions. This positions the 72–75°F range as the market consensus, well above the historical average low near 69°F for the date. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent model runs showing highs in the mid-to-upper 80s further reduce the chance of significant cooling, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability in final Central Park readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 13?
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
61°F or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$42 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$150 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$152 Vol.
21%
72-73°F
$766 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$625 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$61 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$420 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance supports New York City overnight lows on August 13 most likely in the low-to-mid 70s, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, persistent southwesterly warm-air advection, and elevated dew points typical of late-summer conditions. This positions the 72–75°F range as the market consensus, well above the historical average low near 69°F for the date. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent model runs showing highs in the mid-to-upper 80s further reduce the chance of significant cooling, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability in final Central Park readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,341End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance supports New York City overnight lows on August 13 most likely in the low-to-mid 70s, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, persistent southwesterly warm-air advection, and elevated dew points typical of late-summer conditions. This positions the 72–75°F range as the market consensus, well above the historical average low near 69°F for the date. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent model runs showing highs in the mid-to-upper 80s further reduce the chance of significant cooling, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability in final Central Park readings.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,341End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance supports New York City overnight lows on August 13 most likely in the low-to-mid 70s, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, persistent southwesterly warm-air advection, and elevated dew points typical of late-summer conditions. This positions the 72–75°F range as the market consensus, well above the historical average low near 69°F for the date. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks and recent model runs showing highs in the mid-to-upper 80s further reduce the chance of significant cooling, though scattered showers could introduce minor variability in final Central Park readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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