Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 24, driven by northeasterly flow around a high-pressure system that moderates overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as recent observations show daytime highs near 26–28°C transitioning to overnight lows around 19°C, consistent with late-September climatology but slightly above long-term averages due to lingering warmth. Model agreement remains high with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 24?
20°C 36%
16°C 31%
17°C 31%
21°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
31%
17°C
31%
18°C
16%
19°C
29%
20°C
36%
21°C
21%
22°C
13%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 36%
16°C 31%
17°C 31%
21°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$104 Vol.
29%
20°C
$91 Vol.
36%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 24, driven by northeasterly flow around a high-pressure system that moderates overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as recent observations show daytime highs near 26–28°C transitioning to overnight lows around 19°C, consistent with late-September climatology but slightly above long-term averages due to lingering warmth. Model agreement remains high with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$195End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 24, driven by northeasterly flow around a high-pressure system that moderates overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as recent observations show daytime highs near 26–28°C transitioning to overnight lows around 19°C, consistent with late-September climatology but slightly above long-term averages due to lingering warmth. Model agreement remains high with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$195End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models indicates a minimum temperature of 19–20°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 24, driven by northeasterly flow around a high-pressure system that moderates overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, as recent observations show daytime highs near 26–28°C transitioning to overnight lows around 19°C, consistent with late-September climatology but slightly above long-term averages due to lingering warmth. Model agreement remains high with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and refined short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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