Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 show overnight lows near 24–25°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and northwest winds associated with a lingering trough. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance remains tightly clustered in the mid-20s, with limited spread from steering patterns or intensification of the system. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with elevated weight on 24–25°C outcomes alongside tail risk for cooler readings if precipitation timing or wind shifts enhance evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
20°C or below 69%
28°C 49%
25°C 32%
24°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
8%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
32%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
20°C or below 69%
28°C 49%
25°C 32%
24°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 show overnight lows near 24–25°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and northwest winds associated with a lingering trough. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance remains tightly clustered in the mid-20s, with limited spread from steering patterns or intensification of the system. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with elevated weight on 24–25°C outcomes alongside tail risk for cooler readings if precipitation timing or wind shifts enhance evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 show overnight lows near 24–25°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and northwest winds associated with a lingering trough. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance remains tightly clustered in the mid-20s, with limited spread from steering patterns or intensification of the system. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with elevated weight on 24–25°C outcomes alongside tail risk for cooler readings if precipitation timing or wind shifts enhance evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 show overnight lows near 24–25°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 90%, and northwest winds associated with a lingering trough. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce radiative cooling at night while limiting daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures close to or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance remains tightly clustered in the mid-20s, with limited spread from steering patterns or intensification of the system. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with elevated weight on 24–25°C outcomes alongside tail risk for cooler readings if precipitation timing or wind shifts enhance evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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