**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C daily minimum in Singapore on September 10, 2026, reflecting current warm-night conditions under the prevailing dry pattern.** Official forecasts and observations indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C, consistent with Meteorological Service Singapore guidance that minimum temperatures are likely to remain elevated amid reduced rainfall and higher humidity. September climatology at Changi shows an average daily minimum near 25.2°C, but recent regional dryness has suppressed typical overnight cooling through persistent cloud cover and limited radiative heat loss. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 27–28°C range, with 28°C emerging as the mode given observed temperatures that have not fallen below this threshold in recent hours. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater cooling, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution based on current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 10?
22°C 98.7%
21°C or below 98.6%
28°C 98%
23°C 28.5%
$1,267 Vol.
$1,267 Vol.
21°C or below
99%
22°C
99%
23°C
28%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.7%
21°C or below 98.6%
28°C 98%
23°C 28.5%
$1,267 Vol.
$1,267 Vol.
21°C or below
99%
22°C
99%
23°C
28%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C daily minimum in Singapore on September 10, 2026, reflecting current warm-night conditions under the prevailing dry pattern.** Official forecasts and observations indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C, consistent with Meteorological Service Singapore guidance that minimum temperatures are likely to remain elevated amid reduced rainfall and higher humidity. September climatology at Changi shows an average daily minimum near 25.2°C, but recent regional dryness has suppressed typical overnight cooling through persistent cloud cover and limited radiative heat loss. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 27–28°C range, with 28°C emerging as the mode given observed temperatures that have not fallen below this threshold in recent hours. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater cooling, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution based on current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions