Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 22, with the daily minimum temperature likely settling near 19–20°C under light southerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between outcomes above 25°C and below 15°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for minor advection shifts, though no major synoptic features currently support extremes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely narrow the implied probabilities around the 19–22°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 22?
15°C or below 96%
25°C or higher 96%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
96%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
96%
15°C or below 96%
25°C or higher 96%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
$10 Vol.
96%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$10 Vol.
39%
24°C
$10 Vol.
39%
25°C or higher
$10 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 22, with the daily minimum temperature likely settling near 19–20°C under light southerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between outcomes above 25°C and below 15°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for minor advection shifts, though no major synoptic features currently support extremes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely narrow the implied probabilities around the 19–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 22, with the daily minimum temperature likely settling near 19–20°C under light southerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between outcomes above 25°C and below 15°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for minor advection shifts, though no major synoptic features currently support extremes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely narrow the implied probabilities around the 19–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 22, with the daily minimum temperature likely settling near 19–20°C under light southerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18°C amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between outcomes above 25°C and below 15°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for minor advection shifts, though no major synoptic features currently support extremes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely narrow the implied probabilities around the 19–22°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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