Recent CDC surveillance data through May 7, 2026, confirm 1,842 measles cases nationwide this year, with 93 percent tied to ongoing or carryover outbreaks across 37 jurisdictions and 25 new clusters reported since January. Transmission remains concentrated in under-vaccinated populations, where the virus spreads rapidly via airborne droplets, yet weekly increments have slowed to single digits in several states as the largest outbreaks, including South Carolina’s record surge, resolve. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 resolution threshold, CDC’s next weekly update and any new laboratory-confirmed reports from high-burden states such as Utah and Texas will determine the final tally. Historical patterns show summer travel can seed additional importations, but current epidemiological trends indicate limited further acceleration before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMeasles cases in U.S. by May 31?
$69,809 Vol.
1900
99%
1925
96%
1950
69%
2000
14%
2200
2%
2400
1%
$69,809 Vol.
1900
99%
1925
96%
1950
69%
2000
14%
2200
2%
2400
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent CDC surveillance data through May 7, 2026, confirm 1,842 measles cases nationwide this year, with 93 percent tied to ongoing or carryover outbreaks across 37 jurisdictions and 25 new clusters reported since January. Transmission remains concentrated in under-vaccinated populations, where the virus spreads rapidly via airborne droplets, yet weekly increments have slowed to single digits in several states as the largest outbreaks, including South Carolina’s record surge, resolve. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 resolution threshold, CDC’s next weekly update and any new laboratory-confirmed reports from high-burden states such as Utah and Texas will determine the final tally. Historical patterns show summer travel can seed additional importations, but current epidemiological trends indicate limited further acceleration before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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