The 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election remains more than nine months away, with no major party nominations finalized and multiple aspirants still testing support, which sustains trader consensus around early probabilities for Grecia Quiroz, Carlos Torres Piña, and other listed contenders. Quiroz, the Uruapan mayor and widow of assassinated former mayor Carlos Manzo, draws backing from Movimiento Ciudadano and independent-leaning voters, while Morena-aligned figures including Torres Piña (former state prosecutor) and Fabiola Alanís Sámano compete for their party's nod amid internal surveys showing high undecided shares. Security concerns tied to organized crime, party coalition negotiations, and the state's recent electoral history continue to shape positioning without yet producing clear separation. Official candidacies, primary results, or new statewide polling ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote could shift the field by consolidating support or exposing vulnerabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrecia Quiroz 28.9%
Carlos Torres Piña 25.3%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 17%
Marko Cortés Mendoza 8%

Grecia Quiroz
29%

Carlos Torres Piña
25%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano
17%

Marko Cortés Mendoza
8%

Germán Martínez Cázares
7%

Edna Martínez Nambo
7%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes
8%

Carlos Herrera Tello
6%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
5%

Esteban González Nava
5%

Daniela de los Santos
5%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
4%

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
4%

Raúl Morón Orozco
2%

Víctor Manuel Manríquez
6%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
1%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
1%

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
1%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
1%

Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
<1%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
Grecia Quiroz 28.9%
Carlos Torres Piña 25.3%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 17%
Marko Cortés Mendoza 8%

Grecia Quiroz
29%

Carlos Torres Piña
25%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano
17%

Marko Cortés Mendoza
8%

Germán Martínez Cázares
7%

Edna Martínez Nambo
7%

Guillermo Valencia Reyes
8%

Carlos Herrera Tello
6%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
5%

Esteban González Nava
5%

Daniela de los Santos
5%

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
4%

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
4%

Raúl Morón Orozco
2%

Víctor Manuel Manríquez
6%

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
1%

Gabriela Molina Aguilar
1%

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
1%

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
1%

Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%

Gladyz Butanda Macías
<1%

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election remains more than nine months away, with no major party nominations finalized and multiple aspirants still testing support, which sustains trader consensus around early probabilities for Grecia Quiroz, Carlos Torres Piña, and other listed contenders. Quiroz, the Uruapan mayor and widow of assassinated former mayor Carlos Manzo, draws backing from Movimiento Ciudadano and independent-leaning voters, while Morena-aligned figures including Torres Piña (former state prosecutor) and Fabiola Alanís Sámano compete for their party's nod amid internal surveys showing high undecided shares. Security concerns tied to organized crime, party coalition negotiations, and the state's recent electoral history continue to shape positioning without yet producing clear separation. Official candidacies, primary results, or new statewide polling ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote could shift the field by consolidating support or exposing vulnerabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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