State Senator Eric Pratt secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District after Tyler Kistner withdrew from the race in April 2026 due to Marine Corps Reserve deployment obligations. With the primary field cleared, Pratt faced only a brief challenge from Jeremy Westby at the May GOP convention, where delegates backed Pratt by a 65-35 margin before Westby endorsed him and exited. Pratt advanced unopposed from the August 11 primary. Trader consensus reflects these developments through near-certain pricing for Pratt, though residual low probability on Kistner persists. A late write-in surge, ballot disqualification, or unforeseen procedural reversal could theoretically alter the outcome before formal certification.