Missouri’s 7th congressional district, covering southwest Missouri including Springfield, maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting patterns and recent redistricting. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, Burlison’s incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-07 House Election Winner
MO-07 House Election Winner
$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,012 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$6,347 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district, covering southwest Missouri including Springfield, maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting patterns and recent redistricting. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, Burlison’s incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,359End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district, covering southwest Missouri including Springfield, maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting patterns and recent redistricting. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, Burlison’s incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,359End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 7th congressional district, covering southwest Missouri including Springfield, maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting patterns and recent redistricting. Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan lean, Burlison’s incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unexpected turnout changes represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions