Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russia's Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsiya) to impose temporary flight restrictions or full suspensions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Vnukovo, Domodedovo, and Zhukovsky. In August 2026 alone, authorities halted operations at two or more facilities on multiple occasions—such as August 21 and August 16—for safety during reported intercepts of UAVs, with similar large-scale incidents in June requiring multi-hour closures across all four hubs. These measures reflect standard protocol amid the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict, where air defense responses directly affect civilian aviation. Traders have priced in near-certainty of further disruptions before resolution deadlines given the established pattern of attacks and official responses. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation signals have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
August 31
44%
September 15
74%
$695 Vol.
August 31
44%
September 15
74%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russia's Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsiya) to impose temporary flight restrictions or full suspensions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Vnukovo, Domodedovo, and Zhukovsky. In August 2026 alone, authorities halted operations at two or more facilities on multiple occasions—such as August 21 and August 16—for safety during reported intercepts of UAVs, with similar large-scale incidents in June requiring multi-hour closures across all four hubs. These measures reflect standard protocol amid the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict, where air defense responses directly affect civilian aviation. Traders have priced in near-certainty of further disruptions before resolution deadlines given the established pattern of attacks and official responses. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation signals have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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