Lee Shu-chuan, the Kuomintang nominee with prior service as Taipei deputy mayor and Executive Yuan secretary-general, holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, New Taipei mayoral race. This positioning stems from his administrative track record, unified pan-Blue backing after the Taiwan People’s Party’s Huang Kuo-chang suspended his bid following an April primary, and New Taipei’s recent electoral patterns favoring the KMT. DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, an incumbent legislator, has narrowed the gap in September polling to within the margin of error, with one survey showing her at 38.2% support against Lee’s 37.1%. Lee retains an edge in voter expectations of victory. Huang’s 0.1% reflects his earlier withdrawal, while the contest remains sensitive to turnout among independents and cross-strait policy messaging in the final weeks.