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World·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Langlois" at 45%, followed by "Jérôme Gagnon" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Langlois" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jérôme Gagnon" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.