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World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gertrude Bourdon 45%

Claude Villeneuve 43%

Sol Zanetti 43%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
NEW

Gertrude Bourdon 45%

Claude Villeneuve 43%

Sol Zanetti 43%

Nancy Joannette 27%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gertrude Bourdon" at 45%, followed by "Claude Villeneuve" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Gertrude Bourdon" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.