Daniel Gobeil secured the commanding position in the Chicoutimi—Le Fjord federal by-election through decisive voter support on August 31, 2026, capturing over 51 percent of the vote compared to roughly 33 percent for the Bloc Québécois candidate and 12-13 percent for the Conservative. His background as a local dairy farmer and former head of Quebec dairy producers associations aligned with regional priorities around supply management and agricultural stability, while the Liberal campaign under Prime Minister Mark Carney emphasized economic investment and affordability in the Saguenay riding. The seat became vacant after the prior Conservative MP resigned for a Senate appointment, shifting the contest from a narrow three-way race in the previous general election. Official results leave limited room for reversal, though formal recounts or procedural challenges remain possible in close Canadian by-elections before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDaniel Gobeil 100.0%
Régis Gaudreault <1%
Caroline Dubé <1%
$138,565 Vol.
$138,565 Vol.

Régis Gaudreault
No

Caroline Dubé
No

Daniel Gobeil
Yes
Daniel Gobeil 100.0%
Régis Gaudreault <1%
Caroline Dubé <1%
$138,565 Vol.
$138,565 Vol.

Régis Gaudreault
No

Caroline Dubé
No

Daniel Gobeil
Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Daniel Gobeil secured the commanding position in the Chicoutimi—Le Fjord federal by-election through decisive voter support on August 31, 2026, capturing over 51 percent of the vote compared to roughly 33 percent for the Bloc Québécois candidate and 12-13 percent for the Conservative. His background as a local dairy farmer and former head of Quebec dairy producers associations aligned with regional priorities around supply management and agricultural stability, while the Liberal campaign under Prime Minister Mark Carney emphasized economic investment and affordability in the Saguenay riding. The seat became vacant after the prior Conservative MP resigned for a Senate appointment, shifting the contest from a narrow three-way race in the previous general election. Official results leave limited room for reversal, though formal recounts or procedural challenges remain possible in close Canadian by-elections before final certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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