Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for the Republican Party. The Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat has long favored Republicans, with Malliotakis securing large margins in prior cycles and facing no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her fundraising edge and a Democratic opponent, Michael DeCillis, who emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Ongoing litigation over district lines from late 2025 could theoretically alter boundaries, but recent developments and polling trends show little movement that would shift the outcome. A major national Democratic wave or late-breaking controversy remains the primary remote risk to the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$25,875 Vol.
$25,875 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$25,875 Vol.
$25,875 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,781 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,094 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for the Republican Party. The Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat has long favored Republicans, with Malliotakis securing large margins in prior cycles and facing no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her fundraising edge and a Democratic opponent, Michael DeCillis, who emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Ongoing litigation over district lines from late 2025 could theoretically alter boundaries, but recent developments and polling trends show little movement that would shift the outcome. A major national Democratic wave or late-breaking controversy remains the primary remote risk to the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$25,875End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for the Republican Party. The Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat has long favored Republicans, with Malliotakis securing large margins in prior cycles and facing no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her fundraising edge and a Democratic opponent, Michael DeCillis, who emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Ongoing litigation over district lines from late 2025 could theoretically alter boundaries, but recent developments and polling trends show little movement that would shift the outcome. A major national Democratic wave or late-breaking controversy remains the primary remote risk to the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,875End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus near 93 percent for the Republican Party. The Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat has long favored Republicans, with Malliotakis securing large margins in prior cycles and facing no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, supported by her fundraising edge and a Democratic opponent, Michael DeCillis, who emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited resources. Ongoing litigation over district lines from late 2025 could theoretically alter boundaries, but recent developments and polling trends show little movement that would shift the outcome. A major national Democratic wave or late-breaking controversy remains the primary remote risk to the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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