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icon for Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

icon for Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$106,926 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$106,926 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Former FBI Director James Comey, indicted on April 28, 2026, by a federal grand jury for allegedly threatening President Trump via a May 15, 2025, Instagram post depicting "86 47," surrendered the next day and was released by a Virginia judge with no bail, travel restrictions, or monitoring—merely a future court date in North Carolina. Absent any public statements, travel reports, or logistical signs of departure in the final hours before the May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus reflects this lack of catalysts amid his vow to contest the charges. Only confirmed last-minute exit—such as airport sightings or official announcements—could shift resolution, though structural factors like family ties and ongoing legal battles make it improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$106,926
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Former FBI Director James Comey, indicted on April 28, 2026, by a federal grand jury for allegedly threatening President Trump via a May 15, 2025, Instagram post depicting "86 47," surrendered the next day and was released by a Virginia judge with no bail, travel restrictions, or monitoring—merely a future court date in North Carolina. Absent any public statements, travel reports, or logistical signs of departure in the final hours before the May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus reflects this lack of catalysts amid his vow to contest the charges. Only confirmed last-minute exit—such as airport sightings or official announcements—could shift resolution, though structural factors like family ties and ongoing legal battles make it improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$106,926
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?" has generated $106.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.