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Politics·Trump

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

icon for Will Tim Walz resign by...?
Politics·Trump

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

$2,538,243 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,538,243 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$274,483 Vol.

2%

Before 2027

$50,507 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz faces sustained Republican calls to resign amid a massive fraud scandal involving up to $9 billion in misused state and federal funds across social services programs like Medicaid, childcare, and Feeding Our Future, with federal DOJ raids on April 28 underscoring ongoing investigations. Walz announced on January 5 he would not seek a third term, citing political strain, but has repeatedly rejected resignation demands and vowed to serve out his term ending January 2027. A House impeachment resolution tied to the scandal failed on an 8-8 party-line vote in the Rules Committee on April 15, stalling removal efforts. In his April 29 farewell State of the State address, Walz defended his record while GOP lawmakers criticized his handling of the fraud. Absent new legal developments or scandals, trader consensus reflects low resignation odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,538,243
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 28, 2025, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz faces sustained Republican calls to resign amid a massive fraud scandal involving up to $9 billion in misused state and federal funds across social services programs like Medicaid, childcare, and Feeding Our Future, with federal DOJ raids on April 28 underscoring ongoing investigations. Walz announced on January 5 he would not seek a third term, citing political strain, but has repeatedly rejected resignation demands and vowed to serve out his term ending January 2027. A House impeachment resolution tied to the scandal failed on an 8-8 party-line vote in the Rules Committee on April 15, stalling removal efforts. In his April 29 farewell State of the State address, Walz defended his record while GOP lawmakers criticized his handling of the fraud. Absent new legal developments or scandals, trader consensus reflects low resignation odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,538,243
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 28, 2025, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Tim Walz resign by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Before 2027" at 9%, followed by "June 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Tim Walz resign by...?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Tim Walz resign by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Tim Walz resign by...?" is "Before 2027" at just 9%, with "June 30" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Tim Walz resign by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.