Recent polling aggregates place Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear first-round frontrunners, leaving Augusto Cury and Renan Santos as the primary contenders for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through intensive campaigning, social media focus, and public criticism of Supreme Court decisions, appearing at or near Cury’s levels in several mid-September surveys. Cury’s earlier surge among voters seeking an alternative to polarization has moderated in later data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains lower single-digit support consistent with his established but narrower base. The market’s pricing reflects these vote-share patterns and the limited remaining time before the October 4 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRenan Santos 51%
Augusto Cury 37.1%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.0%
$1,284,816 Vol.
$1,284,816 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
Renan Santos
51%
Augusto Cury
37%
Ronaldo Caiado
12%
Romeu Zema
1%
Flávio Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos 51%
Augusto Cury 37.1%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
Romeu Zema 1.0%
$1,284,816 Vol.
$1,284,816 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
Renan Santos
$355,384 Vol.
51%
Augusto Cury
$238,320 Vol.
37%
Ronaldo Caiado
$140,093 Vol.
12%
Romeu Zema
$65,938 Vol.
1%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$80,401 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$56,522 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$16,773 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15,847 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$23,204 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$20,815 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$46,212 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$104,208 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$11,811 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$69,401 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear first-round frontrunners, leaving Augusto Cury and Renan Santos as the primary contenders for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through intensive campaigning, social media focus, and public criticism of Supreme Court decisions, appearing at or near Cury’s levels in several mid-September surveys. Cury’s earlier surge among voters seeking an alternative to polarization has moderated in later data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains lower single-digit support consistent with his established but narrower base. The market’s pricing reflects these vote-share patterns and the limited remaining time before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,284,816Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear first-round frontrunners, leaving Augusto Cury and Renan Santos as the primary contenders for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through intensive campaigning, social media focus, and public criticism of Supreme Court decisions, appearing at or near Cury’s levels in several mid-September surveys. Cury’s earlier surge among voters seeking an alternative to polarization has moderated in later data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains lower single-digit support consistent with his established but narrower base. The market’s pricing reflects these vote-share patterns and the limited remaining time before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,284,816Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling aggregates place Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear first-round frontrunners, leaving Augusto Cury and Renan Santos as the primary contenders for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through intensive campaigning, social media focus, and public criticism of Supreme Court decisions, appearing at or near Cury’s levels in several mid-September surveys. Cury’s earlier surge among voters seeking an alternative to polarization has moderated in later data releases. Ronaldo Caiado maintains lower single-digit support consistent with his established but narrower base. The market’s pricing reflects these vote-share patterns and the limited remaining time before the October 4 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Flávio Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la deuxième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
69%
Oui
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
69%
Oui
Flavio Bolsonaro remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans le District fédéral ?
91%
Oui
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