Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
Marcos Pontes
Non
Rogério Marinho
Non
Tereza Cristina
Non
Simone Marquetto
Non
Clarissa Tércio
Non
Daniella Marques
Non
Damares Alves
Non
Renata Abreu
Non
Gilson Machado
Non
Michelle Bolsonaro
Non
Alfredo Gaspar
Oui
Bia Kicis
Non
Júlia Zanatta
Non
Priscila Costa
Non
Rosana Valle
Non
Alfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.
Marcos Pontes
Non
Rogério Marinho
Non
Tereza Cristina
Non
Simone Marquetto
Non
Clarissa Tércio
Non
Daniella Marques
Non
Damares Alves
Non
Renata Abreu
Non
Gilson Machado
Non
Michelle Bolsonaro
Non
Alfredo Gaspar
Oui
Bia Kicis
Non
Júlia Zanatta
Non
Priscila Costa
Non
Rosana Valle
Non
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Flávio Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la deuxième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
Renan Santos terminera-t-il à la troisième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
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