Skip to main content
icon for Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau

Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau

icon for Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau

Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau

PS 5.6%

MUNDO-GB 4.6%

FLING 4.5%

FREPASNA 3.7%

Polymarket

$156,852 Vol.

PS 5.6%

MUNDO-GB 4.6%

FLING 4.5%

FREPASNA 3.7%

Polymarket

$156,852 Vol.

PS

$24,851 Vol.

6%

MUNDO-GB

$22,820 Vol.

6%

FLING

$12,886 Vol.

4%

FREPASNA

$26,649 Vol.

4%

PT

$21,794 Vol.

2%

Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné »

$47,851 Vol.

31%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$156,852
Date de fin
23 nov. 2025
Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government under General Horta. The vote uses list proportional representation for all 102 National People’s Assembly seats, favoring larger coalitions in a fragmented field. Plataforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing as the broad pro-transitional alliance that consolidated support after major opposition exclusions by the courts. Smaller contenders such as MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT compete on narrower regional, ethnic, or policy bases. Key variables that could shift probabilities include further party mergers, new alliances, implementation of the 36% women’s candidate quota, and external pressure for credible polls before the December deadline.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$156,852
Date de fin
23 nov. 2025
Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Connexes

icon for Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

16%
Oui
icon for Le Mouvement des Cœurs Unis remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l'Assemblée nationale de la République centrafricaine en 2025 ?

Le Mouvement des Cœurs Unis remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l'Assemblée nationale de la République centrafricaine en 2025 ?

98%
Oui
icon for Le UPND remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections de l’Assemblée nationale zambienne de 2026 ?

Le UPND remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections de l’Assemblée nationale zambienne de 2026 ?

97%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné » » à 31%, suivi de « PS » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 31¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau » a généré $156.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 7, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau » est « Platforma Reupblicana « Nô Kumpu Guiné » » à 31%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « PS » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection de l'Assemblée populaire nationale de Guinée-Bissau » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.