Current forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 18–20 °C under light southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average highs reach about 21 °C but often fall short when moisture and reduced insolation are present. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the modest intensification potential, keeping the 19 °C bracket as the market’s clearest implied probability at 40.5 percent while 18 °C and 20 °C remain close alternatives. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of the 12:00 UTC resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 17 mai ?
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
18°C 24%
21°C 9%
$15,311 Vol.
$15,311 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
24%
19°C
39%
20°C
25%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 25%
18°C 24%
21°C 9%
$15,311 Vol.
$15,311 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
24%
19°C
39%
20°C
25%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 18–20 °C under light southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average highs reach about 21 °C but often fall short when moisture and reduced insolation are present. Model consensus shows little disagreement on the modest intensification potential, keeping the 19 °C bracket as the market’s clearest implied probability at 40.5 percent while 18 °C and 20 °C remain close alternatives. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of the 12:00 UTC resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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